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Currently, it's 8:17 am Thu May 5 2016 in beautiful Miami-Dade County, Florida

Forecast Pete

Forecast for the week

After a marginal spring we are getting to the time of year when things slow down considerably.  Unfortunately things don't look good for the next week to 10 days. A small backround swell continues in Central/North fla thru the week.  The small local wavlets we have had around here die out as the winds decrease and go more Southerly.   Models show some potential from a low off the NE but it is mainly over land and looks like it will not get enough traction off the ocean to send us much. Still, that is a system to bear watching. Lets try to keep things on the positive side so King Neptune can reward us soon.  Enjoy

Forecast wyatt

NO WAVES EVER

The Bush /Cheney years have finally caught up with us. Not only do we have close to $4 per gallon (a good thing) but now we have food riots in third world areas, food rationing here in the US, an economic recession, mortgage foreclosures tornados, fires and mudslides somewhere and NO WAVES!

Forecast Pete

Forecast for the week

At least we are in the pattern of ridables as of late.  Some interesting patterns coming up. First we get a short shot of SE windchop on Monday. Models are iffy on the fetch so it still remains to be seen if it pans out. We need at least 15 knts and 110 deg wind to allow traction on the Fla straits to give us those fun SE ridables that we usually get this time of year. Some of you have noticed the past few years we sometimes get light local winds with very fun SE windswell as the winds are stornger down the straights. This one has the possibility of that setup but it will be short lived as a weak front comes down early in the week and changes the wind patterns. Up the road offers up weak NE swell also starting tomorrow and the stronger NE swell now purported to arrive sometime Tuesday (barring the decay effect). There is a possibility of the swell being greeted by SW-NW winds somewhere upcoast as the front approaches but the timing of that is the wildcard. By Wed  the winds turn North and pick up chopping things out but also giving us a short shot of N/NE windchop.  Way further out  (like next weekend) a pattern of increasing E/SE winds comes up and gives us a decent chance of bread and butter windchop down here. Overall a decent pattern to keep us happy before the flat season arrives.  Enjoy Laughing

Forecast Pete

Weekend forecast

Very nice low wrapping up the spring season. Unfortunately we didn't get much down here but those of you that made the drive scored some biggy's if you were at the right spot. For this weekend we will have diminishing NE swell to the tune of around 4 ft at 10-11 sec for Sat and smaller and weaker Sunday -likely 2-ft at 9-10 sec. Winds will primarily be SE and fairly light particularly in the Am. The further North you go the better the chance of lighter winds as the High pressure moves out into the Atlantic and a weak trough moves thru the upper parts of the state. Best bet will be Treasure coast North but North Palm beaches may have decent ridables at the right spot.  Sat a much better call than Sun unless you crave small loggables.  Further out a cut off low develops but its way to far out to predict anything right now. Word has it the Jet stream is lifting this year giving us a possible dryish summer with increased chances of Hurricanes . Interesting stuff so stay tuned. Enjoy...

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Recent Observations
from: Sat 14 Nov 15 12:00 pm
Observation is 4147 hours old
Spot st. augustine
(41012)
canaveral
(41009)
canaveral east
(41010)
ft. pierce
(41114)
lake worth
(lkwf1)
fowey rocks
(fwyf1)
Time
Wed 19 Feb 14 07:00 am
Observation is 19344 hours old
Thu 05 May 16 07:00 am
Thu 05 May 16 07:00 am
Thu 05 May 16 07:00 am
Thu 05 May 16 07:00 am
Sat 14 Nov 15 12:00 pm
Observation is 4147 hours old
Wind ----NW (310)
@ 19.6 kt
NW (310)
@ 21.6 kt
n/a (n/a)
@ -- kt
NW (320)
@ 11.2 kt
----
Atmp/SST ----70.5 F/76.3 F75.2 F/77.9 Fn/a F/74.8 F68 F/77.5 F----
Significant Waves --------3.9 ft @ 5 sec------
Wind Waves ----5.6 ft @ 6.2 sec5.9 ft @ 5.6 sec3.9 ft @ 5 sec------
Swell ----0.7 ft @ 12.1 sec1 ft @ 9.1 sec0.3 ft @ 11.8 sec------
from: 943 pm edt wed may 4 2016
...small craft advisory in effect until 8 am edt thursday...
Synopsis: ....a cold front will be moving across south florida tonight with high pressure ridge building slowly from the west through the weekend. showers and thunderstorms across the region tonight will rapidly improve on thursday with dry conditions expected to prevail through the weekend. .gulf stream hazards...west to northwest winds of 20 to 25 knots overnight with seas building up to 7 feet across portions of the stream. conditions are forecast to gradually improve starting thursday but periods of winds of up to 15 to 20 knots and seas of 4 to 6 feet are still a concern through friday. the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 03, 2016 at 1200 utc... 10 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 17 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 13 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
__/(__/(__/(__( rest of tonight thursday thursday night friday
windwest northwest 20 to 25 knotswest northwest 10 to 15 knotswest southwest 10 to 15 knotsnorthwest 10 to 15 knots
seas 2 to 3 ft 3 to 5 ft 2 to 3 ft 2 to 3 ft

Maps

(click on a map to enlarge)
Tropical Surface Analysis
Tropical Atlantic Surface Analysis Map
created: Thursday May 05, 2016 08:05 am
Tropical Satellite
Tropical Atlantic Satellite Map from the Weather Channel
created: Thursday May 05, 2016 05:14 am
WW3 Heights
NOAA WaveWatch3 wave height forecast
created: Thursday May 05, 2016 01:35 am
Click here for animation
WW3 Periods
NOAA WaveWatch3 wave period forecast
created: Thursday May 05, 2016 01:36 am
Click here for animation

Tides

Miami Tides
Tides at Miami - Click graph for other locations