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Currently, it's 8:50 am Fri Aug 28 2015 in beautiful Miami-Dade County, Florida

Tropical Storm Erika

Updated: 5am EDT Fri Aug 28 2015
Wind: 49 MPH | Location: 17.7N 68.5W | Movement: WNW
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Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts: FSU | PSU

from Weather Underground

Forecast bradswells

Surf Forecast 11-14-2014 (Courtesy of ThankYouSurfing.com)

A low off the Mid-Atlantic interacting with a High Pressure advancing Northeast will set up a nice gradient of North to Northeast winds targeting the Florida coast. It's not a major storm, so we're not expecting huge numbers- but it should get in to the fun-sized range this weekend. Winds may not entirely cooperate, but we may see some decent-good conditions at upcoast spots.

A weak cold front has made it's way through Florida with a northerly flow filling in it's wake. Look for winds to be Northeast in the 10-15mph range, and keep a northerly tilt through Saturday before slacking overnight. Eventually we settle in to a calm ESE flow on Sunday before another stronger front approaches Monday-Tuesday. Pretty good chance we'll see something on that front, maybe even down south.

For this swell, we're looking at a good set up for Florida. It's a shorter period swell, only about 8 seconds or so. That'll set us up for lots of peaky short-interval waves. It looks to peak on Saturday night or Sunday Morning in the 6' range out of the ENE. There's a good amount of NE energy in that ENE, so I wouldn't doubt that some of the Palm Beaches pick some of this swell up.


More details now live on ThankYouSurfing.com 

Forecast bradswells

Surf Forecast 11-1-2014 (Courtesy of ThankYouSurfing.com)

Florida Forecast(Miami Beach to North Palm Beach County)

There’s a little north swell showing in South Florida with the far reaches of the state seeing a trace to barely rideable wave. Winds are light and west for now, but watch for those winds to become more strong and northerly later in the day and into the evening. By dark, we’ll really feel cold air advancing and temptures will plummet in to the 40’s and 50’s. Winds will be NW and strong in to Sunday before turning north and then northeast. Florida will see a period of strong NE winds after the frontal passage and the low departs off the Carolinas with a high pressure setting up in its place. So, waves and more waves. Maybe not the cleanest, but there’ll be surf.

Saturday: Trace north swell with sets in the rideable range for stand-out spots with West winds. Conditions change rapidly as the next front washes through the state accompanied with strong NW winds. Dropping temperatures and building swell overnight. Keep watching the buoys for swell in the 8 second range out of the north.

Sunday: I want to say that the swell will arrive at dawn with NW winds, but given the current conditions at upcoast buoys, I think the swell might show later in the morning. Possible “bounce or refracto” swell earlier, but the bulk the North swell should arrive midday. With any luck the wind will keep a westerly component for a few hours with swell. Best winds south, bigger swell north. Here’s aneat visualization for winds. 

Monday: Leftover cold front swell being reinforced with NE winds. Onshore, but still waves.

Tuesday: Heavy onshores with building windchop and the wind trending more to the east.

 More details available on ThankYouSurfing.com 

Forecast bradswells

Surf Forecast 10-15-2014 (Courtesy of ThankYouSurfing.com)

Florida Forecast(North of Treasure Coast)

Gonzalo swell is set to start pinging buoys tomorrow late-morning in to the afternoon hours. Look for small swell in the 14 second range on the Canaveral East Buoy first, then on the Canaveral Nearshore Buoy about 3 hours later. There will also be a bit of old windswell showing on the buoys at about 2 foot at 9 seconds, so it may be hard for the buoys to pick it up the new swell. Look for Gonzalo’s swell to fill in quickly overnight in to Friday morning with the buoys hitting a peak of about 5 feet at 13 seconds from the ESE late in the night. The swell will continue through the weekend slowly diminishing in size and picking up a more northerly tilt allowing the swell to filter down the coast a bit.

Thursday: Small to very small through midday and then a constant increase through the late evening as the Gonzalo swell starts showing. If the swell shows up on time, it could be in the chest to head high range in the evening. Winds look good if it happens.

Friday: Peak of the Gonzalo swell. Head high to Overhead with NW winds. It’s a groundswell, but not an extremely large or long period swell so it shouldn’t be too hard to find a spot that’s working. Looks like a good day to search and score in Central Florida!

Saturday: Surf in chest to head high range in the morning fading through the day. Winds are forecast to be light/offshore and then light onshore late. Fun sized surf for much of the upcoast spots with good winds.

Sunday: Gonazalo’s leftovers will make for a nice little Sunday with the right attitude and equipment. I wouldn’t doubt some waves in the shoulder high range early if you can sniff out the right spot and set, otherwise about waist high. Again, nice light/offshores early followed by light Northeasts.

 Full details available on ThankYouSurfing.com 

Open Thread crsurf

Surfrider Community Meeting this Thursday - 10/16 @ the Garden

Join us this Thursday night (10/16) at the beautiful Miami Beach Botanical Garden for our monthly community meeting. 

We'll be showing some clips from Taj Burrow's Fair Bits! movie along with free pizza and cerveza (for 21+). Afterwards, we will talk a bit of Surfrider business and work on planning out our upcoming events in November and December.

We hope to see you Thursday from 7-9 PM. Aloha!

Syndicate content
Recent Observations
from: Sat 10 Jan 15 03:00 pm
Observation is 5512 hours old
Spot st. augustine
canaveral east
ft. pierce
lake worth
fowey rocks
Wed 19 Feb 14 07:00 am
Observation is 13320 hours old
Fri 28 Aug 15 07:00 am
Fri 28 Aug 15 07:00 am
Fri 28 Aug 15 07:00 am
Fri 28 Aug 15 08:00 am
Sat 10 Jan 15 03:00 pm
Observation is 5512 hours old
Wind ----E (90)
@ 7.8 kt
SW (230)
@ 5.9 kt
n/a (n/a)
@ -- kt
S (170)
@ 6.1 kt
Atmp/SST ----78.6 F/83.3 F82.2 F/84.9 Fn/a F/84.7 F83.7 F/85.5 F----
Significant Waves --------1.6 ft @ 9 sec------
Wind Waves ----1 ft @ 3.7 sec1.3 ft @ 3.7 sec1.6 ft @ 9.1 sec------
Swell ----2 ft @ 8.3 sec2.3 ft @ 8.3 sec0.7 ft @ 10.5 sec------
from: 524 am edt fri aug 28 2015
Synopsis: ....high pressure will gradually shift eastward into the weekend...as a stationary front remains over north florida through saturday. south and southeast winds of 15 kt or less can be anticipated. tropical storm erika is now forecast to take a more westward track...likely causing it to be weaker as it approaches south florida and adjacent waters sunday. there is still a threat of tropical storm force winds over the waters from late sunday through early tuesday. there is still uncertainty in the track and future strength of erika...so continue to monitor the latest forecasts. .gulf stream hazards...hazardous winds and seas are possible sunday through early tuesday due to tropical storm erika. the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of aug 27, 2015 at 1200 utc... 4 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 19 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 15 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 15 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
__/(__/(__/(__( today tonight saturday saturday night
windsoutheast 5 to 10 knotseast southeast 10 to 15 knotseast 10 to 15 knotstropical storm conditions possible. east around 15 knots
seas 2 to 3 ft 2 to 4 ft 3 to 5 ft 2 to 4 ft


(click on a map to enlarge)
Tropical Surface Analysis
Tropical Atlantic Surface Analysis Map
created: Friday August 28, 2015 08:34 am
Tropical Satellite
Tropical Atlantic Satellite Map from the Weather Channel
created: Friday August 28, 2015 08:18 am
WW3 Heights
NOAA WaveWatch3 wave height forecast
created: Friday August 28, 2015 07:42 am
Click here for animation
WW3 Periods
NOAA WaveWatch3 wave period forecast
created: Friday August 28, 2015 07:48 am
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Miami Tides
Tides at Miami - Click graph for other locations