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Surf Forecast 2-12-2013
Forecast from bradswells
Posted February 12th, 2013 06:30 PMA cold front will come through our area sometime on Thursday, so look for some increasing winds out of the south tomorrow and in to Wednesday. Not looking to get too big, but maybe a little rideable south windswell will show before the wind clocks north. This cold front doesnt look to have too much north swell potential, but on Saturday a stronger cold front enters the picture. This one has some punch behind it, so we are looking at strong northerly winds. Sunday morning probably has the best chance for better winds, but the swell should stick around all day. Looks to drop off fast for Monday...
So in short, Sunday looks promising. In the meantime, there might be a little bump to mess around with ahead of the front on Thursday.
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and i have to work out of town on sunday. beautiful. enjoy it guys hopefully it comes through.
hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm!freeesurfflic.
any ya girls need a ride?
I really miss the good ole days when this website would be a buzz with talk and speculation about any chance of swell. Now a days there's hardly a peep. Where's Pete when I need him? Well, I'm going surfing in the morning, just wish there was more talk and input when planning it out. Good surf to all, and to all a good night!
Me too mperrin, Pete is surf rabid and did good by getting outahea, he always motivated my sorry arse to get up early with promises of fun or good waves. Saw some bumps on the cams, looks
cold, windy, shifty and kinda small though. Probably could get REAL fun at some point. FAmily has been away for 4 wks and just when they come back we get something. Anyone catch my band
13th House last nite at surfrider party? It was a fun gig and the south beach Sandy segment made one actually proud to be a Dade surfer. Frickin barrels galore filmed.
for those that didnt see the band last nite here's a taste.
sound clip: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BT64u79INcs
Just got my pics from a trip to chile, will post them soon......
Slave found some good ones in Broward again. They have this area wired. In heading out to Deerfield/Boca now.
Heard thru the grapevine s beach is waist
To chest.....anyone out there other than
Mperrin???
South was fun yest morn, looked like broward & palm beachers came down here
In Colombia on business trip.... Mperrin and others- We all knew how lucky we were when Pete was moderator of this site. He often posted even when conditions where flat, small chop, etc. In other words he dedicated a lot of time to this site in what has got to be the most fickle surf starved part of the east coast. NO EASY JOB. Nobody could have done what Pete did- NOBODY. However and importantly Brad has taken the thankless job to try to keep this site alive when the chance of surf is 10% - 15% AT BEST in the entire year. That is a lot to ask. We all have to pitch in and keep this alive because it is a good site and more importantly a lot of good dudes come here to check it and talk some smack. In short the best way to keep this alive is to post and post whatever you like. Surf spots outside US you know about and want to share, board talk etc are all good subjects. Let's keep the stoke alive that Pete kept by himself for so many years. Later!
The $20 and bragging rights are back on! Just post the best pic from the recent swell that re-nourished our beaches and stoke. Send me a note if you need photo admin access for the galleries.
Little bit of windswell out there....rideable.
Wind is forecast to drop off, so the surf should start to fall accordingly. The rest of the week looks small.
waist hi sometimes bigger on the peak this morn on outgoing tide.
Anyone want to buy an XCEL long sleeve full 3/2. I got it when I lived upcoast, used it for one season (maybe 15 times) but then grew out of it. It is a size Large Short. Look up the sizing chart on el Google. Text me if interested... 786 348 3482. Don't sell my number to your tio with the used cars. You'll go straight to hell.
Yeah, I know Xavi, didn't mean to sound down on Brad. I just miss the hype and Mr. B and Mr. W and Wyatt piping in all the time. I think though that if there is a decent chance of anything above waist high with decent conditions like this last weekend, we gotta get some more forecast and report posts about the event. I'll try to be better myself at least at initiating the hype. Here's to the next one!
Hi guys,
I totally hear you about the frequency of posts... I wish there was more to report about! Thanks for recognizing the work it takes to maintain fresh forecasts. Pete was an animal. I don't think we'll ever see someone as excited about forecasting the possibility of a knee high wind chop event as he was!
As for reports- I pretty much leave that up to you guys. I feel like the forecasts give enough info to know whether you could be surfing, so giving full-on reports is almost making it too easy.
For instance, this last weekend.... I posted a forecast ahead of time, and said get on it Sunday morning. I woke up before dawn and checked it. There were waves so I went surfing. I didn't tell the world about it... I just kissed my wife and headed out by myself. If I didn't forecast the swell ahead of time, I MIGHT have given a report early, but that's just bc I felt bad that no one else knew about it!
Basically, I want to provide enough info to get waves during a swell event, but not so much info that the most dedicated folks can't get a wave in peace before the hordes descend after finding out there is definitely waves from the internet. The guys who check the conditions by putting in the time have my respect and loyalty, everyone else can get sloppy seconds when they finally wake up. :D
Dude, your doing a great job. Don't listen to these guys that are still butthurt from Pete leaving. You report when its worth reporting. If these guys want everything in a silver platter, it sounds like a personal issue. It's time for them to think for themselves. There are plenty of forecasting tools in this site and others for them to make a decision. Pete's been gone for a while. Get over it! It's really annoying.
I'm still around just lately it seems less people discuss current surf on here that it makes no fun to chime in. Been chasing waves up here since Sunday but things died down lasts couple days. Although Tuesday afternoon turned into a surprise with winds going off shore and surf in the chest plus high range. Got call from buddies and took an extended lunch break to live the dream for a bit. Looks like more goods coming our way early next week so be ready and get your excuses lined up to get out of work. The next big swell could be all the main attraction we been waiting for. Peace!!!
little peelers coming in out of the southeast... look for that to build in to the weekend.
Yo Wazzup Brudha's. Pete here checking in. Miss you guys and this forum. Been AWOL for awhile . Posted sum pics in the forum section.
Majin, u got it all wrong brother, nobody lamenting anything, Brad does an admirable job to let us know in advance the possibilities and his forecast are on target, He doesnt have the time to stoke us with daily/hourly reports and we know that. This site is not abuzz like it used to be, but thats relative, next really good swell could light it up, all things change as we all well know.....Would be good for more spot checks and tips, I lead a super busy life balancing 6 day work weeks and family matters, so any hint from this site is most welcome, You'll notice I ocasionally do spot checks and call the conditions so peeps can get an idea of whats going on, lets stick with the brotherhood and keep the comments positive............
Looking to get a new board and am thinking between the firewire baked potato and the lost bottom feeder. Let me know if any of you have tried either of these boards or anything similar that is good. Also mid this week is looking pretty promising.
FireWire make nice boards that float great. Durability is still questionable since they are sensative to heat. So don't leave it in car on warm days. I have a sweet potato that I really love but wish it had more rocker to make the real steep drops. Otherwise it can be like a bat out of hell out of hell on chest to head while a fast board for the real small stuff when everyone else is bogged down. I also own a Stewart fart knocker. Another fun board and for 350 (or less) brand new you can beat it. Catches everything like my potato but has more bite on steep waves. Love it. Get it.
Speaking of forecasts, we have the potential for chest to head surf with offshores Tuesday through Friday up coast a little. Now lets hear some chatter! Where's cpick and Brad? You guys always have the fetch and angles down pretty good. What does everyone think? Decent chance? Seems worthy of some chatter and we're only a day or two away. Good to hear from ya Pete!
You want a prediction about the weather? I'll give you a winter prediction: It's gonna be cold, it's gonna be grey, and it's gonna last you for the rest of your life.
Whad Up homey, youve been missed.
Thanks M perrin. Good to be back on the scene. For some reason I can't post into this site on my home computer . Must be some settings issue.
Freesurf: I rented and tried the sweet potatoe and dominator from Firewire. Liked em both , fast and skatey but not what I was looking for. The shop I rented them from said good things about the potatonator (a hybrid of the two) . I ended up getting a Merrick Robber (one of Rob Machado's signature board) . Its ridden as a twin with a little buddy in the back fin. Has the speed of a quad and drive of a thruster. Lately been messing with fin options .
Here's a some pics of my boards . Notice the wierd looking trailer fin (its called the eel fin). This Hawaiian guy makes and sells them for 15 Dolla no holla. Peeps put them on their quads around here when it gets juicy. The Merrick fins (which should be on the Merrick board) are funky , with heavy cant (Angled outwards ) Blew me away how they could change a board.
better watch out pete, you might start missing Miami so much, you end up making the mistake of moving back.
I haven't gone anywhere. I check this site out almost everyday. i'm sure i'm not alone.
Here is a report. maybe waves today. go check.
just filled up the truck for up the road, now need to pick a day this week based on schedule..... decisions decisions decisions
South windlines are building... Wind is forecast to keep up until switching SW later in the day/evening. Looks looks we could see a fun session sometime this afternoon.
Also- Long period swell making in above the Bahama bank. Winds are bit sketchy today, but should improve for Wednesday. It will probably be in the waist to chest range in the Northern Palm Beaches, maybe up to head high+ further north. It's a long period swell, so many spots will be closeouts. This swell drops in to the weekend, but there's a cold front that might give us a little chance for a bump down here. Better chance on the next front, Sunday/Monday.
Pete, Hey how that stubby eel fin work in a twin? Does it feel like you got more control ? I bought a knubster future version for my quad dominator for when conditions get juciey. But then again perhaps a thruster setup is better in head high waves then a quad. Who knows. Just something else to rack your brains over as if we have that many over head days here. Lol
OK - 2 days left to post your best surf shots to the gallery. If I get some interest from the photog community then I can also get some shops to add some prizes. Plus your work gets seen by 1000's of visitors to the site each month. Add your contact info in the album description. (Sorry Pete, the Hawaii pics don't count - although they are awesome!)
praying for sunday n swell since i was out of town for the one last weekend
today, tuesday, south winds...fun rights from 930 to 1200 when i had to leave....best on sup or longboard...had fun with fish and even had some way down at 4th/5th...waist to some a bit bigger on drops...if u connected u went all the way to shore.
sw is hummen n its looken fun, out the back. n looken way good for nugs the next few days yep
Thanks for the info guys. Enjoy the swell the next couple of days. Looks like tomorrow and Thurs are going to be the best but as said earlier make sure you go to your long period spots.
Got some fun chest to head swell with a few overhead drops this am up in Jensen area. Winds offshore at times and waves were a little peaky, but real fun. Tried to talk it up a bit beforehand so more could score, but, o well. Should be 3 days of fun swell north palm and up. The south windswell really helped break up the longer period NE swell. Hope everyone can get up coast!
Check out slave to the wave website if you need to see some pics from today. Should be a link on the homepage here.
reports coming in, not many spots wrking this morn up the rd, at least light offshore winds, H tide hurting it plus long period. swell shld be fillin in later today tho. i'll try to report when i get up there much later
The site has been pretty quiet lately. I've been checking in to see what's happening, even though I've been out of the water for nearly a year due to a cancer diagnosis back in March of 2012. It's been nice to at least pretend I could be looking for something to paddle out in. But I'm done with my treatments, cancer free (though chemo seriously sucks!) and I'll be back on my board in a couple of weeks. Feels like it's been forever! See everybody in the water soon!
~peace!~
We missed You Slider!!
Glad You Will be Back in the water soon.
: )))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))
Almost went upcoast this am with Jaydog, heard from Rodger, S Palm Beach
knee at best with 2 longboarders in water, NW winds, long period stuff, alot of
closeouts, Jupiter 3-4ft faces clean, sunday into monday looks good for bounce
swell around here. good to hear from Slider, may want to try detox/alkalyzing to
help out w/ chemo effects.....
Right now Sunday's winds don't show the right direction or speed to produce a bounce swell, so me might get skunked on this one. Hope the models change. Some longboard waves in CPB right now from that N Atlantic low, but the sets are 15 min apart. NPB is better. Looks like Barbados' west side is getting the goods today.
looking out several days.....a period of strong N atlantic blocking is being model'd for the first time in many many moons .....this is also potentially a pattern with a better shot for mid atlantic and SE coastal low's. Models are picking up on a LP moving across the Miss valley toward the SE coast in about 6 days. IF this tracks on a southern course it could be a nice NE/NNE swell producer. something to watch for next wednesday. i hesitated to link this image bc it will change many times between now and then but there is potenital http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/12zgfs850mbTSLPp06150....
good to see more posts lately. Slider, good luck gettin back in the water. I had to take 6 months for knee surgery & that’s nothing compared to u. head high sets bigger than in these pics late yest in NPB, super clean, warm water & little crowd. Long lefts, few close outs, even some quick rights on shldrs
There's cpick! Thanks for the outlook. Caught some fun chest to head with semi offshores this morning in NPB. 3 days of fun surf up there.
1 more pic from late yest up in NPB
OK. Lou has put up some contenders in the gallery to win best pic, braggin rights, and $20.
This one? http://www.dadecosurf.com/index.php?q=gallery&g2_itemId=39283
This one? http://www.dadecosurf.com/index.php?q=gallery&g2_itemId=39286
Or This one? http://www.dadecosurf.com/index.php?q=gallery&g2_itemId=39292
Anybody have the guts to take him on by posting their own gallery from the last swell they surfed in February? It doesn't have to be in Florida, either, just be a quality surf shot that you took.
Hey Zap you got me in one of those pictures putting my leash on ready to hit it. Yeah that was an awesome day. Had a blast.
That overhead left takes the cake.To bad the riders(if known) aren't given credit ,with the locations of the shot. no secret spots anymore! P.S.Brad your effort on forecasts should be appreciated by the locals.Thanks!
just a quick update on the LP i was talkin about cpl days ago. models have begun to converge on a solution.
the cons the low will not be tracking as far south , and it will not be off the Sc coast sending huge bombs w/ 10 second periods up and down the coast by thursday. (as currrently model'd) with huge blcok in place sometimes storms end up more supressed South.
the pros. it looks ilke the low develops over inland n.c and then moves mostly ENE out to sea....with a HUGE windfield and also HOPEFULLY moving slow enough because it looks like it gets in E Florida (to S palm beach county ) window by thurs noonish thru friday midnite or so perhaps a tad longer if the High pressure to the NW of storm is alligned nice to have the winds in our swell window E of New england (NNE winds) howling into sat am. But as we know this can shift and IF this storm happens to track more NE from cape hatteras area we will not see swell. if it tracks more E/ENE we will. and the swell would begin sat sometime and continue into sunday and monday becoming long period NE swell likely easily head high perhaps a few feet OH on sets. Gluck hopefully this can deliver some swell.
SUP, Rodster, Zap - thank-you guys.
Zap - 6 months is a long time, too!
Rodster - I wouldn't mind having some more info on how to detox/alkalize my system. The chemo has definitely left its mark, and I'm still dealing with the skin-effects from the rads as well.
Can't wait to get back in the water!
~peace!~
Slider, sorry to hear about your condition. I went thru something similar when I had my back surgery three years ago. (luckily my tumor was benign), I spent two years belly boarding and struggling to stand on a board. Now thats all behind me and I've turned things around . Its all about reducing toxicity . Try to go sugar and gluten free . Alkalize as much as possible. Talk to Rod ,he will fill you in and give you material to read. Everything is treatable and reversible. GL
This weekend had some waves in South Florida... I caught a little LB sesh at dusk at Sobe on Saturday. It was knee to maybe waist high or so. It came in with the incoming push, but probably peaked during the night, as Sunday morning looked smaller. Upcoast saw much bigger conditions on this one during the weekend....
Right now Sobe has a little line, but it's pretty small. Maybe when the tide goes out this afternoon?
Later this week and into the weekend look really interesting as previously posted.... Thursday/Friday have a chance at waves down in Miami, then a big, long period NE swell fills in for the foreseeable future. Maybe 5-6+ days of groundswell?!
Hey just want to throw my 2 cents for today. If winds turn NE (like its forecast to) than later this afternoon backs off...Swell will move in for a couple of hours at dusk for a few beaches in dade.
Thanks, Pete. I'm glad you're past all of that and you're healthy again! I knew about sugar (very bad), and I've heard that white flour is bad also (sticking to whole wheat) - but I hadn't been told about gluten. What does gluten do?
Rod - If you're willing, I'd appreciate any info you can give me...
~peace!~
I broke the most important self imposed rule and paid for it.
WHEN THERE IS GOOD CLEAN SURF IN SFL DROP EVERYTHING AND GO.
Had a chance to go upcoast yesterday but did not bc I did not plan accordingly. Decided to go today and wind was on it (Jupiter area). Someone later told me it was good and clean yesterday and hence my dispair.
I have a self imposed rule to always go when surf is present bc conditions will not last and the window is tiny. Broke the rule and missed swell. It is what it is but lessoned learned.
Looks like plenty of large surf headed our way for the weekend. Winds do not look favorable but the surf will be present as CPICK note.
Also happy to see many old posters jump back. There is no question that CPICK, JKnill can bring good forecasting help to Brad and the ever so timely contributions from Mr W, Mr. B about conditions upcoast also help. Throw in Lou, CLEON, ZAP, Slider, Rodster etc and the site is as good as we cam make it. Forgive me if Ieft anyone out. The point is that we can all help fill in just as before and we will all be happy.
Later!
Yup Sunday afternoon had the goods here in north county. Solid shoulder to head high waves with offshore NW winds making for some hollow sections. March is turning into a good month. Monday afternoon saw a nice chest high swell still in the water with a little bump on it but as day went on it got cleaner. Today was barely rideable but fun on a log. Tomorrow might be a day to rest up for things to come on Thursday and beyond. Wow seems like been surfing since Sunday a week ago. My arms are sore but I keep going. Stay tuned...
Thanks Brad- Upcoast should be bigger and better for days unless I am missing something but sites I use have plenty of swell in h20 starting tomorrow?? As the weekend enters the picture some large- for Fl standards- surf is expected NPBC and looking to last well into next week. That is just from my lense and please use your own research to confirm what I see. Sadly I am off to DC on Saturday morning but going to try to hit it before then.